Monday, May 26, 2008

Still a long way ahead for BJP

The recent election results in Karnataka is not only a morale boosting victory for the state BJP but their national unit as well. This is the first time that the party has come to the power with such a big margin. The latest defeat is an eye opener for the Congress also.

With BJP falling short of reaching the magical figure of 113 seats by just three seats, it now remains to be seen, what plan of action does the Congress and other parties have in their minds. The Congress had already made it clear that it would sit in the opposition if the saffron brigade gets 112 seats. Even after the loss the Congress still has outside chance forming the next government in the state if it is able to bring in several secular parties and independent candidates under one roof. For this they need to take the help of JD(S) which got 28 seats in the elections.

The past might have come to haunt HD Kumaraswami once again. It is generally perceived that it was Kumaraswamy’s decision of not handing over power to the BJP last October the state had to face the mid-term poll after a seven-month of President’s rule. This time around BJP does not need his support to form the next Government in Karnataka.

The latest victory by BJP may well open the gate for it to make stronger base in South India. The party doesn’t have any strong hold in south or in eastern part of the country. This victory might change their fortune and help them to form the next next government in the centre next year. But that seems like a distance dream right now..

Last few years had seen the decline of BJP. Among the young generation in the party none of the politicians have any mass base. They have never come in contact with people. What’s more, unfortunately for the party, it had to declare LK Advani as it’s candidate for the post of Prime Minister even when it has leaders like Rajnath Singh, Sushma Swaraj, Arun Jetlie et al.

If BJP wants to emerge as a single largest part in the next parliamentary elections it need to regroup all it’s NDA allies and also those who had left them. The party needs to re think about it’s flaws and rectify their past errors.

Even after their debacle in Karnataka, Congress and it’s UPA allies have more chances of winning the next Lok Sabha elections. They have a strong mass base and it’s leader Sonia Gandhi and her son Rahul have a great knack of interacting with the masses. During 2003 general elections when the entire media had written it off, the Congress and it’s allies came back from nowhere to form the next Government at the Centre.

In a latest poll conducted by Indian Express-Dawn News-CNN-IBN, nearly 77 per cent of the urban people has suggested that Manmohan Singh has done well as a Prime Minister. 73 per cent of people with the performance of the UPA Government.

The results in Karnataka may have show the mood of the country. So every political parties should plan accordingly.

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